Containerbranchen står til giganttab

Drewry Shipping Consultants vurderer nu, at containeromsætningen vil falde 10,3 procent i år. Samlet set vil det give branchen et tab på 20 milliarder doller, et beløb der er så stort, at nogle rederier vil få så store tab, at de ikke står til at redde.

"Venter vi ofre? Bestemt. Branchens basale opbygning vil ændre sig i takt med, at selskaber enten går konkurs, fusionerer eller skrumper", siger container-analytiker Neil Dekker fra Drewry ifølge Lloyd's List.

Drewry forventer, at efterspørgslen på containertransport vil falde 10,3 procent i år og kun vokse med en procent næste år. Det vil især være ruterne mellem Europa og Asien der bliver ramt.

I juni blev 29 containerskibe handlet, enten på tvangsauktion eller til spotpris af økonomisk pressede rederier. Ifølge Alphaliner et sikkert tegn på, at branchen er presset i bund.

"Realiteten er, at kun få af de tiltag, rederierne tager for at komme væk fra denne afgrund, giver mening. Nogle virksomhedsledere erkender privat, at strategien med at beskytte markedsandel og volumen i modsætning til indtjening er selvmord," skriver Neil Dekker.

Kilde: borsen.dk

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